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See Every Chain Before It Prices In

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Chain Intelligence in Action
We published the upstream supplier. The graph traced downstream. Both moved.
AXTI
+156%
AXT Inc
Upstream — InP substrate supplier
In graph Mar 15 at ~$48
Now $123.78
→ supplies substrates to
AAOI
+102%
Applied Optoelectronics
Downstream — 800G optical transceivers
In graph Mar 25 at ~$94
Now $190.36

AXTI makes indium phosphide (InP) substrates — the base material for laser chips used in AI datacenter networking. The graph mapped it as an upstream chokepoint on Mar 15 (git commit 4c2218e0). Ten days later it traced the dependency downstream and added AAOI — the transceiver maker that needs those substrates for 800G modules. Same supply chain, two plays, both timestamped in git before the moves.

XXXX → XXXX
Another chain forming
+XX% in X days
Pro Only
XXXX → XXXX
Another chain forming
+XX% in X days
Pro Only

This is 1 chain of 601 we are tracking. The rest are forming now.

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Alerts
$69 /month
$55/mo billed annually — save 20%
Get notified when new convergences form. No graph access.
✓Email alerts when new convergences form
✓Weekly convergence digest
✓Congressional and insider trade tracker
✓Policy scanner and public filings
✓Published research previews
✓Full methodology and backtest results
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Pro
$299 /month
$239/mo billed annually — save 20%
The full platform. Graph, playbooks, scanners, and the time advantage.
✓Everything in Alerts
✓Interactive supply chain graph — 4650 nodes, 20464 connections
✓All active convergences — full scores, sources, and timelines
✓Deep-dive playbooks with entry zones and catalysts
✓Full scanner suite — options flow, 13F, Form 4, lobbying, contracts
✓Second-order analysis — ripple effects, competing forces, and failed patterns
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Institutional
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For funds and research teams that need to know where capital is forced before it moves. Raw graph access, cascade modeling, custom coverage.
✓Everything in Pro
✓API access to graph and convergence data
✓Bulk data exports — CSV, JSON
✓Custom queries — subgraph extracts, cascade modeling
✓Chokepoint monitoring — real-time alerts on severity changes across your coverage universe
✓Cascade modeling — map second and third-order effects of supply disruptions
✓Multi-seat team licenses
✓Dedicated support and onboarding
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WHAT'S BEHIND THE DATA
4650
Companies, facilities
& policy actors
20464
Mapped connections
between them
10+
Sectors covered
simultaneously

What this means for you

✓

We track how policy changes ripple through supply chains over time — so you see the second and third-order moves, not just the obvious first reaction. (20 cause-and-effect chains validated across 5 years of data)

✓

We flag companies caught between competing forces — benefiting from one policy shift while being squeezed by another. That's where consensus gets it wrong and mispricing happens. (10 identified right now)

✓

We track convergences that didn't lead to price moves — so you know which patterns to ignore, not just which ones to follow.

Most platforms only show you bullish setups.

We show you where the thesis breaks — so you know what to avoid.

Questions

What do I get with Pro?
Everything in Alerts, plus the interactive supply chain graph with 4650 nodes and 20464 mapped connections. Full convergence scores, sources, and timelines. Deep-dive playbooks with entry zones and catalysts. The full scanner suite (options flow, 13F, Form 4, lobbying, contracts). Second-order analysis showing ripple effects, competing forces, and failed patterns.
What's the difference between Alerts and Pro?
Alerts ($69/mo) sends you email notifications when new convergences form, plus the weekly digest and public data tools. Pro ($299/mo) gives you the complete platform — the interactive supply chain graph, full convergence details, deep-dive playbooks, all scanners, and second-order analysis. If you just want to know what is forming, Alerts is enough. If you want to understand why and build your own thesis, Pro is the right tier.
How is this different from a stock screener?
Screeners filter on price and volume — backward-looking indicators. ForcedAlpha maps the structural chains between policy shifts, capital flows, and forced actions — then detects when multiple data types converge on the same chain before the market prices it in. The edge is structural, not statistical.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes. Cancel with one click from your account page. No contracts, no lock-in, no questions asked.
What's the refund policy?
14-day money-back guarantee. If the intelligence doesn't meet your standard, email [email protected] and get a full refund. No conditions.
What's on the Institutional plan?
Everything in Pro, plus API access to the graph and convergence data, bulk data exports (CSV, JSON), custom subgraph queries and cascade modeling, multi-seat team licenses, and dedicated support with onboarding. Built for funds, research desks, and teams. Reach out at [email protected] and we'll scope it to your workflow.
Who is this for?
Macro-oriented investors, policy analysts, and anyone who trades around structural catalysts — regime changes, export controls, defense procurement cycles, energy policy shifts. If you trade on earnings beats and technical breakouts, this probably isn't for you. If you trade on structural inevitability, it is.

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